Purple on the chart = what option prices imply. Teal = your view after you adjust.
Spot vs future distribution is not arbitrage. This checks whether options imply a different executable forward than the futures/perp market after spreads and estimated costs.
Use the buttons below to say how you disagree with the market — for Jun 30, 2026.
Each button push nudges the teal curve. Use Reset to return to the market view.
Unlimited upside or deep crash views need a custom distribution (not a simple center/vol shift). Use Request research beta for fat-tail / skew overlays — on the roadmap for advanced belief mode.